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Chapter 06: Cryptographic Exposure vs. Optimization. Separate near-term combinatorial optimization from Post-Quantum Cryptography migration.
Eve Count Quantum Systems · 06 · Cryptographic exposure vs. optimization. Select the architectural plate to inspect full size.

06 · Cryptographic exposure vs. optimization

Boards frequently conflate two completely separate quantum tracks: near-term combinatorial optimization and Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) defense.

A well-governed enterprise separates these tracks immediately:

  • Track A — Combinatorial Optimization & Simulation (Value Creation): Optional, ROI-driven, governed by basis-point uplift over classical baselines.
  • Track B — Cryptographic Exposure & PQC Migration (Risk Mitigation): Mandatory compliance and security hygiene driven by Mosca's Inequality ($X + Y > Z$):

$$X \text{ (confidentiality shelf-life)} + Y \text{ (migration lead-time)} > Z \text{ (years until cryptanalytically relevant quantum capability)}$$

If $X + Y > Z$, encrypted traffic intercepted today (Harvest Now, Decrypt Later) will still be sensitive when legacy RSA/ECC keys become vulnerable.

Quantifying Mosca exposure in code

from examples.combinatorial_triage import CryptoAssetInventory

swift_archive = CryptoAssetInventory(
    system_name="cross_border_trade_finance_archive",
    public_key_primitive="RSA-2048",
    confidentiality_shelf_life_years=10,
    migration_lead_time_years=4,
    estimated_crqc_horizon_years=10,
)

ephemeral_session = CryptoAssetInventory(
    system_name="internal_Telemetry_webhook",
    public_key_primitive="ECDSA-P256",
    confidentiality_shelf_life_years=1,
    migration_lead_time_years=1,
    estimated_crqc_horizon_years=10,
)

assert swift_archive.mosca_exposure_years == 4
assert swift_archive.requires_immediate_pqc_remediation is True
assert ephemeral_session.requires_immediate_pqc_remediation is False

Try with your AI coding assistant

Ask your assistant: "Generate a 5-row CryptoAssetInventory audit table for a regional bank or maritime logistics operator, ranking systems by mosca_exposure_years."

Checkpoint

Keep your PQC security roadmap (owned by CISO / Infrastructure) and your Combinatorial Optimization roadmap (owned by Operations / Quantitative Engineering) in separate governance charters so neither stalls or confuses the other.

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